People often fold two questions into one: is the program ending in 2030, and what happens to the rebate afterwards? The honest answer is that the schedule is published to 2030 and nothing is promised beyond it.
What is scheduled
The Small-scale Renewable Energy Scheme runs to 31 December 2030. For batteries, the STC factor has been stepping down every six months: 9.3 for July to December 2025, 8.4 for January to April 2026, 6.8 for May to December 2026 (at the time of writing), then 5.7 from 1 January 2027 and 5.2 from 1 July 2027, continuing down to 2030. Since 1 May 2026 the bands are 100 percent to 14 kWh, 60 percent to 28 kWh and 15 percent to 50 kWh.
| Period | Factor |
|---|---|
| Jul to Dec 2025 | 9.3 |
| Jan to Apr 2026 | 8.4 |
| May to Dec 2026 | 6.8 |
| Jan to Jun 2027 | 5.7 |
| Jul to Dec 2027 | 5.2 |
What after 2030 might look like
Nobody knows yet. The scheme was designed to fade as costs fall and as a market for batteries develops on its own. After the schedule ends, the likely paths are no federal discount, a replacement program or extension through legislation. Any of these needs a government decision, and we would not predict which. Compare the solar side, where the deeming period reaches one year in 2030 and the scheme ends: see STC scheme ending.
Why it matters earlier than 2030
STC value per battery is already falling, so the “effective price” of a battery rises on each step unless hardware prices drop faster. In the other direction, battery costs have been falling. Both forces matter for a buyer deciding when to purchase. For the near-term step, see battery STC factor 2027.
What this means for installers
Your STC sales do not stop in 2030, but their value per job shrinks each step, and your sales pitch has to move from rebate to savings. Plan product mix and quoting accordingly, and keep a trader that publishes a daily rate and settles quickly so every step is captured. See how long STC payments should take and pricing.
From the desk: build quotes with the installation date and the factor named. If a job slips across a step, the customer sees the reason in writing instead of a surprise.
For the program mechanics, see battery STCs, the end date answer and the battery STC calculator.